Monday, January 28, 2008

I disagree....

George W. Bush is not a lame duck president. I don't think he'll be a lame duck till the next president is elected.

Lame duck (politics), an elected official who has lost political power (Wikipedia)

George Bush has political power, arguably more than the entire dare I say.... lame duck congress.

(disclaimer: the following is not a endorsement of a largely corrupt, and debatably, an incompetent administration, rather it is just giving credit in an instance where it is due, AND is arguing against any claim that the Democratic controlled congress and the news media have our best interests at heart.)

There is a vacuum of leadership in our legislative branch. The newly elected "American Majority" as the democrats like to call it, is too busy trying to make the president look bad by proposing uncompromising legislation that will not even be considered for approval. Nancy Pelosi even tried to undermine the Iraq war last year by strategically inciting Turkish-American tensions. This legislature is possibly even more morally and ethically bankrupt than the twisted administration that they were elected to fight against. The American public is well aware too (click link for a range of congress job ratings).

While the news media downplayed the State of The Union tonight (msNBC strategically talked about the presidential primaries instead with "State of the Union" still written on the bottom of the screen.... CNN and FOX were a little less blunt in their attempt to warp viewers minds) I was struck by several points of Bush's speech. In fact contrary to the pundits claiming it was a "rehash of prior State of The Unions" I felt it differed starkly. The fiscal conservative spirit of the GOP was back, and it wasn't just a "I'll ask congress to... blah blah blah" it was DO THIS OR ELSE. Let me outline:

First in regards to the expiring tax cuts, which more than likely will expire because Democrats will refuse to take it up, Bush boldly said this will amount to a TAX HIKE.

"Try explaining that to 116 million American taxpayers who will see their taxes rise by an average of $1,800. Others have said they would personally be happy to pay higher taxes. I welcome their enthusiasm. I am pleased to report that the IRS accepts both checks and money orders." -From transcript

This was followed by laughter, applause from myself, and then the following:

"Most Americans think their taxes are high enough. With all the other pressures on their finances, American families should not have to worry about the federal government taking a bigger bite out of their paychecks. There is only one way to eliminate this uncertainty: Make the tax relief permanent.
Members of the Congress should know, if any bill -- raises taxes reach -- reaches my desk, I will veto it."


The commentators, namely Brit Hume, Keith Olbermann, and Chris Matthews poo pooed Bush's budgetary items calling them insignificant. However I think they were purposefully ignoring it, and in the next few months I anticipate several vetoes.

"Next week, I'll send you a budget that terminates or substantially reduces 151 wasteful or bloated programs, totaling more than $18 billion. The budget that I'll submit will keep America on track for a surplus in 2012."

The CBO sees $219 billion deficit in 2008. That being said 100(18/219) = 8.2% of the budget. I would call that a significant cut, for example tax cuts tend to be 1-2% or even fractions of a percent. An 8.2% budget reduction, well lets look in history.

In 1993 the NY Times heralded Clinton on his reduction of The U.S. Deficit, any guess on the reduction?

U.S. Deficit Drops 7.1%
Now this was the fiscal year, which is different than the actual year which was listed below.

In 1993 the deficit had gone from 290.3 to 254.9 billion between 1992 and 1993.
100(35.4/290.3) = 12.2% reduction

This was the monumental shift in direction which would one day bring us to budgetary surpluses once again. Yes it was more than 8.2% but keep in mind the United States is fighting 2 wars, bailing out the sub prime mortgage crisis, still rebuilding New Orleans and dumping large sums of money into a beefed up post 9-11 "Homeland Security".

Back to the State of the Union...

"American families have to balance their budgets; so should their government.
The people's trust in their government is undermined by congressional earmarks, special interest projects that are often snuck in at the last minute, without discussion or debate. committee reports that never even come to a vote.
Unfortunately, neither goal was met.
So, this time, if you send me an appropriations bill that does not cut the number and cost of earmarks in half, I'll send it back to you with my veto
."

(Who is this guy... and what did he do with George Bush?)

Wait for it... there's still more!

"And tomorrow I will issue an executive order that directs federal agencies to ignore any future earmark that is not voted on by Congress.
If these items are truly worth funding, Congress should debate them in the open and hold a public vote
."


Seriously... I'm wiping away tears at this point, it is as though the guy awoke from some sort of coma. Perhaps he had been under some sort of voodoo spell conjured by Ted Kennedy from back when they partnered on "No Child Left Behind".

So according to the news, the vetoing of spending increases & pork spending, encouraging an 18 billion dollar budget cut amounting to 8.2% of the projected deficit, and an executive order to ignore earmarks that weren't voted on.....which could I might add bring about a Constitutional debate, all of this is INSIGNIFICANT, compared to a decrepit drunk (thought to be a murderer by some) endorsing Barack Obama.

Continuing......

"Our shared responsibilities extend beyond matters of taxes and spending. On housing, we must trust Americans with the responsibility of home ownership and empower them to weather turbulent times in the housing market.
My administration brought together the Hope Now alliance, which is helping many struggling homeowners avoid foreclosure.
And Congress can help even more.
Tonight I ask you to pass legislation to reform Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, modernize the Federal Housing Administration, and allow state housing agencies to issue tax-free bonds to help homeowners refinance their mortgages
."


I am going to end dissecting and arguing with the claims of the media here. This last point is also key, and Chris Matthews went on and on about how Bush ignored the mortgage crisis. He wanted Bush to teach us all about fixed rate vs. adjustable mortgages.... which probably would be a good lesson for the masses to learn, but I hardly think the "State of The Union" is the time or the place to conduct such a lecture. Anyway, as you see Bush did NOT ignore the mortgage crisis.

And of course, there's the surge. While it didn't achieve it's goal of helping Iraqi's create a stable government, it has helped them stabilize the Nation. I was a naysayer myself, but the "surge" has helped and things are looking up. There is an opportunity build upon this progress.

I stand by the idea that the Iraq invasion was a mistake, and a horrible foreign policy blunder. That being said, we have a chance to potentially try and do good by our mistake and hopefully this country can rise to that occasion rather than abandoning Iraq into an anarchy which could catch like wild fire and spread to neighboring nations.

The suggestions of potential "fiscal responsibility" much like Bush's "Surge" and adjusted battle tactics (securing newly cleared out areas in Iraq rather than merely moving on and leaving them unguarded) are excellent examples of things Bush should have been doing ALL ALONG. These items are a few among many things that have made him a lousy president. But I suppose better late than never.......

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Good commentary, George.

- Hayes

Anonymous said...

"Nancy Pelosi even tried to undermine the Iraq war last year by strategically inciting Turkish-American tensions."

Or maybe, you know, it was just an attempt to properly recognize a relatively forgotten genocide? Bush himself promised to do the same thing, funny enough.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/10/09/AR2007100902347.html?hpid=topnews

As a presidential candidate in 2000, George W. Bush pledged to ensure that "our nation properly recognizes" what he called "a genocidal campaign that defies comprehension."

But god forbid we piss off the Turkish! Never mind the air base, never mind the "military cooperation"...have you heard of a woman named Sibel Edmonds? Probably not, since the U.S. media has mostly cockblocked her story.

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/middle_east/article3137695.ece

http://youtube.com/watch?v=Ezn4Nl9iUBA
http://youtube.com/watch?v=v2JmlgFKl0I
http://youtube.com/watch?v=kUdT1UIDN80
http://youtube.com/watch?v=DoFccUW7oqI

The world is a dirtier place than you would probably care to imagine, especially at the top.

George N. Parks said...

Thanks for posting the links chandler... very interesting stuff, especially the article on Sibel Edmonds.

That being said, generally it isn't good to shoot yourself in the foot, and making enemies of Turkey, would potentially be even more detrimental to foreign policy than that.

As for Bush making a claim during the election, he was naive, it was one of those things you say to get elected, and the situation in Iraq was a bit different at the time. (Of course the ultimate disaster is of his and his cronies invention)

As the Washington post article that YOU posted said…. Everyone acknowledges the mistreatment of Armenians by the Ottoman Empire accept the Turks. It is in our History books!! The legislation has been brought up repeatedly over the past few decades only to get pushed to the side. Pelosi bringing it up again was strategic and underhanded. It was an attempt to make the Iraq situation worse than it already is. Her fellow party members recognized this which is why it was not pursued.

Politics both domestic and foreign is comprised of bartering, bargains, secret agreements, espionage... you name it. It is no news to me you can guarantee that.

Pissing off the Turks would be, excuse me for being politically incorrect, RETARTED! Try a large-scale invasion of Northern Iraq instead of their current tempered incursions. Try the loss of our only viable air force base in the region to supply our troops. Try on angering one of the only Islamic nations which has somewhat friendly relations with Israel. And it continues....

To throw that away over semantics about something that happened 100 years ago is completely ridiculous.

On your videos:

First one: Am I supposed to be surprised?... this is govt 101, goof off, demand more money. Haven't you heard the phrase "good enough for government work"? By the way, you may recognize that this is the highly rated 60 minutes program on AMERICAN MEDIA! Kind of takes away from your "cockblocked" comment. My guess is that the story just isn't sensationalized enough.

Video2: Difficulty getting translators... nothing earthshaking really. The woman claiming that existing translators are incompetent.... OK, that's fine but then again she is a Turkish translator who was fired from the organization (It's pretty tough to get fired from the government from what I understand). This could just be someone with a chip on her shoulder, but I'll give her the benefit of the doubt.

Video 3: Workplace 101... KID GLOVES!!!! You can't go around questioning the skill set of your bosses when you are a peon, a pawn. This isn't how you make changes, it isn't how you gain respect, YOU WILL BE DEEMED INSUBORDINATE!!! The claims this woman made are vague and unsubstantiated, and what's to believe that they aren't just rampart incompetence and negligence rather than something malicious?? Honestly when the government is actually effective enough to pull off an Iran Contra scheme, it’s impressive. Most of these people do the bare minimum and try not to make waves. I need more beef... because honestly I'm leaning more and more towards "disgruntled ex employee" than the smoking gun of a large government cover up.

Video 4: OK... so this woman tries to out her bosses because she thinks they aren't doing their job (scratching my head) I get her moral dilemma....And honestly they probably weren't doing the job. BUT THIS IS THE GOVERNMENT!!! I mean really what did she expect! In ANY organization be it small start up, big corporation... and MOST OF ALL the government... the little guy WILL take the fall for the misdeeds of their bosses. If you aren't prepared for that you shouldn't be getting involved in anything remotely associated with the military. If you are argumentative these people will RUIN YOU! You may call it right from wrong... but they will call it treason.

Honestly I don't think Sibel has a leg to stand on... and given the relative insignificance, vagaries, unsubstantiated one side perspective of this scenario.... there IS little to no story.

Sibel is likely one of hundreds of government employees who have gone through this sort of thing.

And again, this sort of thing isn't unique to government... There are corporations, charities, unions, schools, groups of all different shapes and sizes that will employ these tactics when someone doesn't fall in line.

Well... I have to admit I can be a bit slow at times but I'm missing the point of all of this and what it necessarily has to do with Turkish American relations. Turkey has spies here OMG! I bet you NO OTHER COUNTRY HAS SPIES HERE!! Why would they do that.... perhaps the Ottomans will invade! NEXT...some of the terrorists were Turkish... OK, there were Americans involved in Al Qaeda too... so perhaps we should be more self loathing.

It is more than likely that the FBI is well aware of the underhanded information sharing that goes on. I'm guessing in many cases it is a necessary evil.

As for Senator Chuck Grassely and his participation in this.... what is his motive? As it turns out:

"He was one of two Republicans to vote against authorizing the first Gulf War."

Next:

"Grassley has campaigned to increase protection and provide support for "whistle-blowers". He has supported a number of FBI whistle-blowers, including Coleen Rowley, Michael German, and Jane Turner."

Well I guess I can't fault him for that, but it seems he embraces government dissent. I'm not certain that lends credence to Sibel's case.

Something a little suspect:

In July 2007, a Grassley-commissioned report was released claiming that more than US$1 billion in farm subsidies were sent to deceased individuals. Grassley said: "It's unconscionable that the Department of Agriculture would think that a dead person was actively engaged in the business of farming."

I'm thinking this guy might just be a Ron Paul supporter but perhaps I'm wrong. 1 billion would represent a substantial portion of the National deficit which I would like to think would be noticed. I'd believe it if it were tens of millions.